July Trailer Orders Slump to Lowest in Nearly Three Years
This story appears in the Sept. 2 print edition of Transport Topics.
Trailer manufacturers received the lowest total of new orders in nearly three years during July, blaming an economy that has failed to give customers enough confidence to add equipment, ACT Research reported.
July鈥檚 tally of 12,739 was the lowest since August 2010, when about 11,800 orders were received, according to ACT. It also was down 6.7% from the 13,655 ordered in July 2012, and 17.2% on a sequential basis from June鈥檚 total of 15,386.
July often is the slowest month of the year, but even by that standard, orders still were below expectations, ACT analyst Frank Maly said.
鈥淲e continue to hear concerns about the pace of the economy and a very uneven path for freight,鈥 he said. Fleets are 鈥渏ust not in a situation where they鈥檙e confident enough to pull that trigger.鈥
On a positive note, Maly said order cancellations have remained low, indicating that buyers are 鈥渟tanding firm鈥 on the orders they鈥檝e placed.
Nearly all trailer makers told Transport Topics orders were down in July.
鈥淐ertainly, seasonality plays into it, but I do sense that maybe it is more than just the normal seasonality,鈥 said Chris Hammond, vice president of dealer and international sales at Great Dane Trailers.
鈥淚 think there鈥檚 just this general malaise in the economy right now.鈥 He said mixed economic reports are not 鈥渂uilding a whole lot of confidence.鈥
As a result, 鈥淲e鈥檝e had to reduce some [production] rates a little bit here and there鈥 while also stretching out the backlog, Hammond said.
He also said some customers already are placing orders for next year, rather than the second half of 2013.
鈥淲e feel like if we can get into the beginning of the year, we have enough quoting activity going on to keep us at a good level of production,鈥 he said.
Larry Roland, marketing director at Utility Trailer Manufacturing Co., said despite a slump in July, order activity in August was 鈥渞amping up very nicely to put us back on track.鈥
鈥淭he [July] dip, to us, was nothing more than standard summer doldrums,鈥 Roland said.
He said Utility has allowed natural attrition at some plants by holding off on hiring, but the company鈥檚 current build rates still are 鈥渧ery high.鈥
鈥淲e鈥檙e still predicting a record year for production in 2013,鈥 he said.
David Giesen, vice president of sales and marketing at Stoughton Trailers, said July orders were 鈥渁 little better鈥 than a year earlier, with the final tally falling right in line with the seasonal norm.
鈥淚 still hear the same comments like a broken record 鈥 that the economy is slow or sluggish,鈥 Giesen said. 鈥淚t鈥檚 not terrible, it鈥檚 just that it doesn鈥檛 seem to be going anywhere. It鈥檚 just plod-ding along.鈥
He also said Stoughton held off on replacement hires during July as a way to scale back growth plans.
鈥淭hat was our tap on the brakes,鈥 Giesen said.
Glenn Harney, chief sales officer for Hyundai Translead, said his company also experienced a decline in July orders, but he predicted August should show better results.
He said he was confident the company will generate enough order activity to continue at current build rates in the months ahead.
During Wabash National Corp.鈥檚 recent earnings call, CEO Dick Giromini said the company鈥檚 backlog expanded slightly during the second quarter, which he called a 鈥済ood indication of continuing order-demand strength.鈥
鈥淭his leads us to believe that the overall demand environment for trailers remains solid as the second quarter has historically been a good indicator of what to expect for the balance of the year,鈥 he said.
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